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Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Hmmm at first glance, I thought to myself what an easy pace scenario for RA this race was shaping up to be.
But if she were in the race, it could turn out to be a Smarty Jones-like scenario where they all make premature moves because they aren't going to let RA get away with any breather whatsoever and that would set it up for Mine That Bird.
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If Mine that Bird doesnt change his style he doesn't have a shot in the Belmont. From what I gather no horse has won from more than 5 lengths behind at the 1 Mile Call in the last 10 years. For my calculations I use a hd = 1/10th of a length.
http://nyra.com/Belmont/mediaguide/0...es_Section.pdf