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Old 05-19-2009, 05:07 PM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Of course he is not right 100%, its just funny in such a high profile race that TG rides both sides to cover themselves.

I guess with two straight pairs MTB has to bounce in the Belmont? You use the product, whats your interpratation reading that sheet?
His pattern shows the likelihood of a slight backwards move. But there's something interesting about a horse like Mine That Bird in these discussions... As a deep closer with one run, he doesn't undergo the same rigor of race stress like a Rachel Alexandra, so there may be less pronounced effect of 'big' efforts and tightly spaced efforts.

At the same time, as a gelding in the spring, and with no steroids to help keep his appetite up, he may be vulnerable to weight loss and tucking up. Horses that run well in the Preakness and Derby, and in this case perhaps the Preakness and Oaks, frequently can 'go south' about 10 days or so after Baltimore.
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