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Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I want to like him too, especially considering he's been pretty good on the dirt. The problem I had was that his GP race looks a bit counterfeit given that the runner-up got beaten badly in minor graded stakes on dirt and synth and the 3rd place finisher is a claimer. This guy had everything his own way with the slow pace and the track was strong speed favoring on 1/31.
NT
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True, but I think he is eligible to improve on the return to dirt after his two Cali races. Even though he was soundly beaten in the Sham, I thought his race that day was pretty good, and there is nothing wrong with losing to The Pample after chasing him wide all the way around the track. Then, in the Santa Anita Derby, he got cut off in the stretch which appeared to bother him quite a bit. It seems like he might be one of those 3yo who has improved quite a bit over the last few months or so, but that improvement is masked a little bit because of the surface switch.
He also sems to have enough tactical speed that he should be able to get over easily from the outside post and sit right behind the leaders.
I admit I'm probably reaching on this one, but I
hate all of the horses coming out of the Derby in this spot, with the possible exception of FF. I think Take the Points is as likely to hit the board as somebody like Papa Clem or Mine that Bird, but Take the Points will be a much better price than those two.