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Originally Posted by philcski
Phil's Expected Odds:
Rachel Alexandra 2-1
Mine That Bird 4-1
Pioneerof The Nile 7-1
Big Drama 9-1
Papa Clem 10-1
Musket Man 10-1
Fresian Fire 10-1
General Quarters 20-1
Take the Points 30-1
Terrain 30-1
Flying Private 50-1
Luv Gov 50-1
Tone it Down 50-1
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I think we'll see something close to Phil's 9-1 on Big Drama. Bodog has been offering 20-1 all day, SportsInteraction is offering 18-1. When TheGreek put its odds up tonight, it offered 10.15-1, same as for Mine That Bird and Musket Man.
Here's my fair odds line, assuming a dry track:
PP# Horse My line
1 Big Drama 5
2 Mine That Bird 12
3 Musket Man 12
4 Luv Gov 100
5 Friesen Fire 15
6 Terrain 50
7 Papa Clem 10
8 General Quarters 30
9 Pioneerof the Nile 15
10 Flying Private 70
11 Take the Points 40
12 Tone It Down 200
13 Rachel Alexandra 9-5
--Dunbar