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Originally Posted by Gander
I dont see the Derby as a race that most rational bettors use a gauge to determine the chances of a particular horse next out. Theres always too many horses causing atypical trips, and this year's Derby was run in slop, albeit Friesan Fire is a horse who likes it wet. Like every year, there are a few very logical horses who had excuses.
Friesan Fire is a tough one to gauge odds on but I would guess much lower than 10/1. Maybe 6/1?
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that's the thing-he had some good races, but fell so flat in ky, and supposedly liked an off track. second off a layoff tho, with his seven week break from his last to the derby...
i like rachel, but i really like musket man here and would definitely use him in ex's and tri's.