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Originally Posted by philcski
Phil's Expected Odds:
Rachel Alexandra 2-1
Mine That Bird 4-1
Pioneerof The Nile 7-1
Big Drama 9-1
Papa Clem 10-1
Musket Man 10-1
Fresian Fire 10-1
General Quarters 20-1
Take the Points 30-1
Terrain 30-1
Flying Private 50-1
Luv Gov 50-1
Tone it Down 50-1
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2-1 is my odds cutoff for using Rachel. Less than that, I'll try to beat her, but anything higher and she gets my money. I doubt MTB will take quite that much money. I'd say POTN will be closer to 4-1 and MTB will be closer to 7-1. Never underestimate the Baffert Buzz Factor™.