5/7: Belmont (4th-9th)
Got back $505 on 2 consolations for $216 Churchill P6 play when pair of top choices failed in marathon feature Wednesday. Coming into the day down $100, the sextet result put me exactly even for the sum of the "Derby experience". But it was hard to swallow the 5 of 6 beat seeing the $33,000 return the sequence produced. As discussed at Derby Trail and on ATR, a short field of four going 11f frequently produces odd pace scenarios, and Leparoux gave the Michelle Nihei-trained winner a heady ride. The race was a good spot for the all button, but that would have strained the budget. Hope you did well...
Finally am turning attention back to New York today, though as NYRA's Andy Serling reported last night, they will be off the turf today at Belmont. With the meat of the New York season now ahead of us, need to catch up on the 'senior circuit' quickly after focusing outside the NY ovals for nearly a month.
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
NOTE: 4th, 5th and 7th are OFF THE TURF, so check for post-scratch revisions...
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Discreet Empire 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mary's Song 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Crema d'Oro 20-1 3rd
5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: # #1 Kitty Nip 5-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Favorite Flavor 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Kiss and Fly 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Street Talk 12-1 3rd
6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #9 Super Shape 5-2 6th
Next Best: #1a (POE) Air Lord 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Saratoga Lullaby 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Bill Place 12-1 4th
7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #14 SCR
Next Best: #13 Drowning Bear 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Platinum Couple 12-1 6th
Super Add: #15 Motor Patrol 8-1 WON
8th: Nasty and Bold, 3+, 12f (DD)
Most Likely: #3 Delosvientos 7-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Alcomo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Eldaafer 12-1 3rd
9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (Super)
Most Likely: #7 Runnin On Guilt 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Saarlandisourland 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Asscher Cut 20-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Wonsome 5-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 1-4-9
7: 4-13-15
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 1-7
3x3x4x2 = $72
$1 P4 (1-15-2-7) Paid $1,040.50
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 05-07-2009 at 04:40 PM.
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