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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
In this race, dosage was about as effective as the Beyer numbers. The horse with the worst Beyer numbers won the race. So does that mean that a new angle is born that the lower the Beyer number, the better chance a horse has to win the Kentucky Derby?
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Good point! The reverse Beyer angle is strong, but still not as effective as the reverse Dosage angle. You wouldn't have hit the exacta and trifecta using reverse Beyers. You would have had to be satisfied with nailing the winner.
Next year I'll be looking for 'dual qualifiers'. That would be horses like Mine That Bird that have ultra high dosage and aren't even ranked at all on the Experimental Free Hdcp.
--Dunbar