05-05-2009, 06:18 PM
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Atlantic City Race Course
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Mike
Just like there are(were) Golden Rules of Handicapping the Derby, the Preakness has some, too, just but a few.
The 105+ Beyer achieved in a route pre-Kentucky Derby(which only I Want Revenge ,Dunkirk and Quality Road had achieved), dips to a 104 par for the Preakness. Mine That Bird qualifies, as would Fresian Fire if he were able to run. Fresian Fire is also a big Preakness pick due to the frequency of Kentucky Derby ml and/or post time favorites returning to win the Preakness
Looking at Mine That Bird's current pp's, he either freaked in the slop or due to another reason, perhaps the crowd.
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I much prefer the buzzer theory. 
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