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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The guy has performed the kind of miracles in Churchill Downs two-turn dirt route stake races that not even the shadiest trainer could ever dream of.
Here is his record in two-turn dirt Graded Stakes at CD since 2004:
2009: 3-for-3 (100%) $41.73 ROI
(The three wins:
* Mine That Bird: a stunning runaway Kentucky Derby win.
* Rachel Alexandra: a 20+ length Oaks win.
* Miss Isella: A stunning upset of loose on the lead 1/2 favorite One Caroline)
2008 record: 7-3-1-1 (42%) $7.83 ROI
2007 record: 7-3-1-1 (42%) $7.86 ROI
2006 record: 3-2-0-1 (67%) $72.60 ROI
2005 record: no mounts
2004: record: 2-1-0-1 (50%) $11.00 ROI
Since '04: 22-12-2-4 (55 % wins - 82 % ITM) $21.58 ROI
That ROI is friggin bananas! It's like impossible to be even half that high for almost two dozen mounts.
I know you're thinking I'm just still very bitter about Street Sense two years later ... but what if the same trainer had this record and was responcible for unexplainable miracles like Mine That Bird today and Seek Gold's absurd 91/1 Grade 1 win in the Foster after he looked like a confirmed mid level claiming horse?
I'm not saying he's riding with a device either ... unless the Churchill rail is like one big long buzzer. And I'm only not saying that because his mounts don't seem to have quite as much magic elsewhere.
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I think you're on to about the most plausible reasoning that Mine That Bird could have been picked, I wish you hit upon it 24 hrs ago
Maybe some jockey's respond much better than others in the Big Time races
Next year, baby, me and Bo-Rail!!!