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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Don't forget to key him for 7th in the septafecta.
He sucks.
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Macho Again, I'm not taking 5/2 on a deep closer in a race with very little pace, even if he's been good to me in the past he really needs a setup. Ready Set is mediocre at best... beat a terrible group in the WV Derby in his lone decent performance, the Discovery was an OK number but he really just clunked up for 3rd. Maybe he could win off the layoff and the development from 3 to 4, but that's a lot to ask when he'll get overbet because of the connections. Mambo in Seattle will probably be overbet because he always is, and really had no excuse at the FG in his last dirt race, and just really hasn't been the same since the Travers. Cool Coal Man I used to like a lot and I've had enough of after that no-excuse debacle at AQU, he could bounce back but I'm not taking less than 5-1. Star Guitar moved from statebreds to graded stakes and got waxed- even if you draw a line through that because of the slop he still isn't fast enough. Shift in Power is 5-6 lengths too slow to win. Prom Shoes is a useful horse but will probably do what he always does running at the bottom of the superfecta, even though his last is better than it looked- maybe if he's a huge price I'll use him. Informed is just terrible.
That leaves Dr. Pleasure and Bullsbay. Dr. Pleasure, I liked both his races at GP, this is probably a good spot for him to break through as the likely pacesetter by default- Cool Coal Man probably won't go since it's pretty clear where he does his best running- and there's no other horse in here with a ton of early speed. Bullsbay, who knows what happened in the Donn? Clearly it wasn't physical because he wheeled back 2 weeks later and won. Draw a line through that and you have a legitimate contender at a good price, who does have tactical speed, is 2-2 at CD and 3-3 at the distance. I feel very comfortable standing with those two.
Tell me what I'm missing here.