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Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
All of this is pure guesswork ... because ...
... it's impossible to forecast in advance who will be a successful stallion and who won't.
Race record, pedigree, physical appearance, soundness, and professionalism all are contributing factors ... but ...
... there are so many horses who share so many of those attributes ... that somehow divining which ones of dozens of prospects are going to succeed ... and which ones are going to fail ... is a sucker's game.
Hundreds of years of breeding experience have borne this out.
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it is not all guesswork. there is a tremendous amount of thought involved. the goal is to increase the odds. it is no different than any other business. luck is involved but it is not ALL guesswork, as you noted. do you speak from breeding experience? i would find it hard to believe anyone that has ever been in the breeding business would make your statements.