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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
no sane person would choose Pioneer of the Nile over Dunkirk for this race.
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Since I know you aren't Dunkirk's biggest fan, does this mean that you think Pioneerof the Nile will be a complete toss? If so, I am genuinely interested in hearing your opinion regarding why, because, while I think you may well be right, I believe this colt figures to be one who will give me trouble when I try to determine how to play the race.
On the one hand, the zero dirt starts is an obvious concern, and he obviously hasn't run a race as impressive as Quality Road or I Want Revenge.
But the fact that Empire Maker and Lord at War were both pretty good 9f+ dirt horses makes me think that he might appreciate the surface switch and the stretchout just like the two very nice colts he defeated in the Robert Lewis seemed to do. He also has good tactical speed, has worked well after his last start, and appears fairly versatile.
Do you think he won't like the dirt, or that he just flat out isn't good enough?