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Originally Posted by King Glorious
This is silly though. You can't take one horse and say that's proves anything. I could just as easily say "just look at Zenyatta, who was a monster on both" or Midnite Lute or Tiago or Indian Blessing. All of them were good enough to win graded stakes on synthetics and on real dirt. All of them appear to be better on dirt. Why is it automatic that Pioneer can't be is all I ask? I also don't think it's fair to say that Curlin was a monster on dirt. Those last few races were FAAAAR from monster efforts and his losses on grass and synthetics weren't exactly to claiming horses.
Saying one horse proves something........I might as well say that all horses trained by Servis can win the Derby because Smarty Jones proved that.
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i never said it was automatic. i said that people making the claim that IWR and papa having dirt form somehow flatters POTN is incorrect. it tells us nothing about how pioneer will handle dirt. i said i wouldn't use him, because i think all things being equal or relatively so class-wise, that i would use a horse with proven dirt ability over one who has no proof. that i wouldn't use a horse having to do too many 'firsts' in a race like the derby.
when you consider the thousands of horses who race on poly vs how many try dirt, and how many make it on dirt, i think you'd find that horses like zenyatta are an anomaly. she is a good horse-moreso because she has handled more than one surface. but not all good horses on one surface are good on all surfaces, just because some are.