[NoChanceToDance]

I've got six from the field in the National tomorrow:

State Of Play - maybe not the force of old, but still a classy horse and good enough to win this and should stay. However, I don't like the fact that he's crept over the 11-0 mark.

Rambling Minster - a thorough stayer and a bit of a character at home but seems to concentrate on the track. Jumps very well and very honest. Not much going against him and sure to go well.

Southern Vic - Hasn't won in a long time, but he's the right type for this race, which so often can be worked out by spotting past trends. This horse passes all of the 'big trends'. He might have preferred softer ground. If Ruby had chosen to ride him, he'd be around 14/1 rather than 33/1. He rates as a bit of Value.

Parson's Legacy - Stamina is his forte, and he hasn't got too many miles on the clock. Been kept fresh for this and well fancied by conections. Usually jumps well and has a decent chance at a nice price.

Brooklyn Brownie - An outsider with a decent chance. Again he seems to fit the trends. jumps and stays well.

Fleet Street - Not only is he number 26, but he fits ALL of the trends I follow for this race. His jockey, Andrew Tinkler gets on very well with him. I think he'll last the distance. He hasn't got the class of some of his rivals, but I don't think this race is all about class. He is a MASSIVE price, but I really do think he could go very well.

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Horses I don't think have a chance:

My Will - I know he is favourite, but I just cannot see him winning. He doesn't seem like the type that will be suited by the Grand National. Not only do I think he won't win, I don't even think he'll complete the course.

L'ami - Another who has been well touted, but he's not getting any younger and is another French bred (like My Will). He should have won at Cheltenham, but looks to be going downhill fast. He couldn't win this race when he was a much better horse, so why should he win it now??

Butler's Cabin - again, he's had his chances and I just don't think he's a horse who is quite up to the task in this race. He looks poorly handicapped to me and I don't think McCoy will gain his first National win this year.