Affirmatif
Either the horse is good or he isn't. If you can't beat that bunch who really cares? However, If Affirmative likes to run on the lead, Keeneland's poly might not be as favorable as grass. Running style matters with the surface. Why run him on the polytrack if he wants to run early??
However, If that race comes off, and Pletcher doesn't scratch him, then he's worth playing against, and Pletch loses that explanation.
Stardom Bound
The Ashland was supposed to be the great bet against, where you could build your bankroll for the Kentucky Derby. Then Dutrow went and got a 1:12 3/5ths work over the keeneland track... Kind of ruins the weekend. It's so hard when he gets a new horse. And you've got to think they aren't thinking long term - she's slipping and they wan't her at her best for this. Dutrow is using his best stuff here. She's still a little vulnerable, but she will be improved from her last, and this field sucks. Gozzip Girl and maybe one of the SA Oaks will like this track... I'm not even playing now.
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