Quote:
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Originally Posted by pweizer
"The figure for the Florida Derby looked low."
Not that is some explanation...
Paul
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"we concluded there had been a change in the historic relationship between times at 1 1/8 miles and other distances at Gulfstream. We don't know why, but we did know that many of the 1 1/8-mile figures had to be increased."
The official explanation almost makes it sound like they didn't know 9 furlongs was 2 turns or something, which obviously isn't the case.
The Truth is that there is pressure for beyer figs to represent the performance of the horse. If they represent the performance of the horse, then (ridiculous?) claims such as "Quality Road's 109 beyer certifies him as KD contender...." can be made. Also it sounds less ridiculous to say a horse bounced or regressed, that happened to clearly move forward.
The effort has to be made to represent a good performance. If beyers aren't misconstrued as performance figures, then what the hell good are they?
How do the graph and sheets describe the race? I don't check those, but if they are calling QR and Dunkirk's race top prep performances, it further strengthens this point.
Also credit Phil for being one of the first regulars to have a clue, Brother.