[philcski]

RANK HORSE EARNINGS Chances of going
1. Square Eddie $774,981 50/50
2. Pioneerof the Nile 743,250 100%
3. Friesan Fire 570,465 100%
4. Vineyard Haven 417,500 0%
5. Terrain 410,830 50/50
6. Old Fashioned 330,000 100%
7. I Want Revenge 324,000 100%
8. Hold Me Back 288,000 100%
9. Desert Party 241,667 90%
10. West Side Bernie 235,160 50/50
11. Chocolate Candy 220,000 80%
12. Bittel Road 211,000 30%
13. Musket Man* 200,000 80%
14. Crowded House (GB) 195,020 ?
15. The Pamplemousse 180,000 90%
16. Win Willy* 180,000 90%
17. Papa Clem 160,000 50/50
18. Charitable Man 150,000 20%
19. Quality Road* 150,000 100%
20. Mine That Bird 138,705 will be ahead, no more preps
21. Beethoven 132,494 injured, doubtful
22. General Quarters 130,645 will be ahead, one more prep?
23. Munnings 105,000 ?? prob should be off this list
24. Flying Private 94,000 Ark Derby?
25. Cribnote 90,000 not pointing to derby
26. Flying Pegasus 90,000 Ark Derby?
27. Join the Dance 67,500
28. Theregoesjojo 58,063 will be ahead, no more preps
29. Regal Ransom 50,000 * jumps to top of list, 80%?
30. Imperial Council 50,000 Wood Memorial
31. Proceed Bee* 47,000 Lexington?
32. Atomic Rain 40,000 ?
33. Take the Points 40,000 Wood Memorial
34. Feisty Suances 40,000
35. Jose Adan 37,900
36. Bear's Rocket 36,000
37. Poltergeist 30,000
38. Justdontcallmejeri* 30,000
39. Uno Mas 28,000
40. Gone Astray 27,500

Looking at this list, Dunkirk is in better shape than I had originally thought. He'll be 20th, with that goofball Kempton race taking a slot, so really 21st. He'd have to have ALL of those above him to go (very unlikely), and I only see 5 that can leapfrog him barring some bizzare horses winning next week and the week after.

I'm still not a huge fan but he showed me a lot today.