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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Dismantling Warrior's Reward - who ran 2nd behind him in his alw race - it doesn't seem as impressive after WR was a soundly beaten 8th at 5/1 odds with no big excuse behind Musket Man in the low rated Tampa Derby.
I realize Dunkirk was hung wide on the first turn while WR saved ground and all ... but 3rd place finisher Sincero - beaten 6.5 lengths by Dunkirk - was beaten 9 by Take The Points and 6.5 by Free Country in his two prior starts. He was only a path wider than Dunkirk on both turns - and considering the way he got shuffled on the far turn - it was pretty shocking that he was only giving slight ground away to Dunkirk through the lane.
Yeah - the 98 Beyer with the wide trip looks great - but that fig might be high. The 2nd place finisher has already flopped. And the 3rd place finisher had no worse of a trip and still managed to get a career top Beyer.
I understand he hasn't done anything wrong ... but this horse has not even come close to showing the kind of talent a Big Brown or Curlin had shown in there first two races.
I hope Pletcher runs his rabbit with him .. the way to bet the Florida Derby is to get Dunkirk out of the tri IMO.
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Perhaps you are discounting the alledged lack of anabolic steriod testing at GP.. Amazing how Pletchers walking wounded stable has now become pretinent again.. Shocker