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Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Nah, actually the Fair Grounds race isn't really the reason I think that at all, I didn't take much of anything away from that race outside of Friesan Fire. Terrain's got just barely enough talent. He reminds me of Wilko in that regard...he can make a lot of money being pointed in the right spots while never winning anything again.
But as far as the Derby goes, I just picture him getting the same kind of off the pace trip as lots of other recent 3rd and 4th place finishers got. At least he's shown he doesn't quit running, which has turned into a huge advantage in recent years at 10 furlongs. You don't have to be that fast to get 4th in the Derby in comparison to the other runners in there...just be one of the last ones left running. Think more Imawildandcrazyguy, Jazil, Don't Get Mad, Atswhatimtalkinabout, etc. None were really very good, but didn't quit running when 17 other horses did.
Or I could just save Hoff's money for a WPS bet on Win Willy and call it a day.
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I get it, I just think this year's Derby field may be unusually strong, and even the minor clunkers may be decent horses.