Assuming Silver City, after fading very badly in this weekend's race, does not run back in the Arkansas Derby, the race dynamics will change significantly - and to the benefit of Old Fashioned.
Everyone is going crazy about Friesan Fire and I Want Revenge, but neither has yet to prove his mettle in a race with a solid pace. Their respective races in the Louisiana Derby and Gotham were virtually identical; each stalked a slow pace and drew off when the other "speed" could not go on with it, and the pace worked to the detriment of the closers.
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