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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Creighton also lost to Drake at home and Arkansas-Little Rock and Wichita State on the road, then barely beat Wichita State and lost by 24 to Illinois State. That's not an at-large resume. I think they're done.
Siena has no chance in my opinion, and I strongly disagree with Scott that South Carolina is anything close to a lock. 10-6 in the conference means very little when you're 0-3 against the two Tournament teams and are 1-5 against the RPI 1-50. What's their good win? At Kentucky by one? At Baylor by three? Narrow wins against two NIT teams? They also lost to College of Charleston at home. I think they need at least two wins to be safe.
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They lost at College of Charleston and I think the committee will not hold that against them since they have been trying to get big schools to go on the road non-conference and Charleston will be a tournament team. I agree that their resume is very weak but they went 4 games over .500 in a BCS league, and will finish with less than 10 losses and a top 50 RPI. That passes the smell test for me and I have a tough time seeing them left out against a relatively weak bubble.