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Originally Posted by Downthestretch55
Curt,
If I didn't get lucky once in a while, I'd take up knitting instead.
That's the only reason I keep coming back.
Today is a prime example to not bet chalk.
Stupid me, stupid me, stupid me.
I need to listen to myself more.
DTS
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I'd say it's a prime example not to bet false chalk. Flower Alley had no excuse for his clunker last time out. And his allowance win before that was nothing special. In fact, he earned nearly identical Beyers in those 2 races, and they were not nearly good enough to contend today.
It's amazing to me that this horse went off as co-fav with what he's shown in the past 10 months. Okay, if you think the horse can rebound AND you are getting 10-1, fine. OR, if you are getting 5-2 on a horse that is clearly the best in the race (AND has shown it recently), fine. But to take a 5-2 shot that has shown almost nothing this year was a big mistake, IMO.
I realize I am saying this after the fact, which makes it nearly worthless; but I did say (in another thread) that I was taking Sun King in a matchup vs FA. The horse I bet to win, unfortunately, was Second of June. At 20-1, I liked him a lot. He certainly didn't disgrace himself.
--Dunbar