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Originally Posted by golfer
Possibly the fastest career maiden ever, runs again tomorrow, 1st try routing on the turf. From a Thorograph figure standpoint, he should have been winning stakes races running these figs. Will this horse EVER win a race?
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He's got a shot.
The Acai race looks pretty good on the Bris Ultimate PPs.
Race Rating of 115 indicates a possible classy field of maidens - With a field of 7 maidens deduct some for Excess Capital's influence on the rating, but it did have a very good Acai. Excess Capital received a Class Performance Rating of 117 which is good enough on paper to win some allowance races, and is 2 points higher than anyone else in today's race has ever run.
Excess Capital comes in fresh enough 2nd off the layoff and his 1/09/09 pace ratings hint that he should be in shape (94Early 105E2 and 91Late).
Just looking at form, the closest he has come to breaking maiden in his last 10 has been his been his only
two route races (Amped,Acai) and his
Turf sprint (Aug). So is he begging for this TURF ROUTE or was he just in a peak form cycle?
In the Amped race, although beaten(once again) by a better horse, Excess Capital at least showed that he can stay on task while racing on the lead. Shooting for the lead here right out of the gate is a possibility, and there is a slight bias favoring the wire-to-wire trip.