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Originally Posted by pick4
The Dream Rush of 2008 and 2009 is not the same horse who won The Test.
The unknown is 3 Seventh Street. She destroyed much weaker fields in NY and is taking a major class hike. Can she rate and finish strong against the toughest field she's faced? I don't know.
I think Dick Dutrow's horse will come off the pace. By The Light is a confusing horse. However anything Dutrow puts on the track in a wide open race merits respect. If a horse is going to win from off the pace why not Fascinatin' Rhythm? It's her home track and she cuts back in distance. Richard Small can still train a horse with his current stats a statistical anomaly. Access Fee looks like a talented filly. I think she has a good chance in this race.
If I had to put in my wager now I'd go 4,5,8 in leg 1.
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I'm not sure I want Fascinatin' Rhythm after she was the 2/5 shot who couldn't hold on to kick off the Magna 5 in week 1. Her trainer is certainly capable but he's struggling mightily right now and he has had no success adding blinkers and decides to make that move today.
I think Seventh Street is dicey but beating up on bad horses in allowance races in NY is often just as good as beating mid-range stakes company in the mid-Atlantic. She beat Salt Water Reign two back and that won has scored two in a row since. The biggest question mark on SS is whether she can win a race on a dry surface. She's scored three times on wet tracks which has to make one a bit suspicious.
By the Light was fully stretched to beat a very soft field last time out and is another who's going to be horribly overbet.
If I'm looking to bomb in here it might be with the Mountaineer shipper but I'll use Seventh Street for sure.
NT