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Originally Posted by miraja2
I like a horse who has demonstrated need-the-lead traits in the past and has been caught up in speed duels and faded at a given distance (say, for example, 6f) in recent starts, and is then stretched out a furlong in its next start.
I think the average schmo thinks that if the horse faded on the lead going 6f, it will surely fade going 7f. In reality, however, a need-the-lead type is often able to get the lead much more easily at the longer distance (depending of course, on the makeup of that particular race), which can often be the difference.
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I think this is an excellent one and one that is often overlooked. The first horses that came to my mind were Commentator and Lion Heart.
Along the lines of studying people, I'd like to point out one that I used to use a long time ago. Back in his heyday, when he was running multiple horses all over the country, I'd love to find out where Wayne Lukas was. Wayne loves the camera and so my thinking was that he'd be where he thought he had the best chance of getting his picture taken and being on tv. The better he was dressed, the more I figured he liked his chances.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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