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Originally Posted by GPK
Dan, be careful with what you are saying about the outside post. So far this meet there have been 15 turf races carded at 7 1/2 furlongs or 1 mile, both which start relatively close to the turn. Of those 15 races, 47% (7 winners) have come from post 8 and wider.
Post 8: 3 winners
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 10: 1 winner (2nd and 3rd place finishers were from the 12 and 15 hole)
Post 12: 2 winners
There have been 13 turf races at 1 1/16 and 38% (5 winners)have come from post 8 and wider
Post 8: 1 winner
Post 9: 1 winner
Post 11: 1 winner
Post 12: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 14 hole)
Post 16: 1 winner (3rd place finisher from 15 hole)
Don't talk yourself off a horse just becuase the outside post. It's not near the disadvantage you think it is.
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And before you toss Roll The Di you might watch her grass races in New York this summer. A horse who developed a nice closing 1/4 at a shorter distance off two wins this summer/fall. Toss at your own risk but watch those replays