Thread: Bounce Theory
View Single Post
  #25  
Old 01-15-2009, 02:48 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Thanks for the response. A few comments...

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
That was obviously a very negative factor.

Be it bottom level claimers or with Graded Stake horses - with lowered expectations often comes lowered results.
Okay, just wanted to make sure we were on the same page. I think it's an even greater negative factor for claimers than for graded stakes horses. There are more reasons a trainer might pick a softer spot for a stakes horse. But when a trainer is putting up what appears to be a too-cheap for sale sign, it gets my attention.


Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Just because the horse won nicely - don't assume that the horse doesn't have some real physical problems.
Well said.

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
This summer, a filly here won a 25K claimer by 7 lengths, finishing in a supersonic 23 and change and ran faster than N3X Alw fillies on the same card. Instead of her connections feasting on the alarmingly easy allowance ranks here with her - they entered her for a 15K tag in her next start.

Myself and a friend claimed her - she ran a very good 2nd in a strong race for the level with a little trouble to boot - though her performance was quite a bit less than her prior big win.
I'm curious about your thinking in making the claim? You must have thought (like in yesterday's race) that there was something wrong with the filly. Who brings a dominating 25K winner back for sale at 15K? Were you assuming it was something minor that you could be patient with and fix?

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote