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Old 08-29-2006, 02:04 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
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It's not as if JV jas been on a light schedule. He has more mounts than Gomez. JV has 24 wins from 156 mounts. He is riding 15% winners. Gomez has 29 wins from 144 mounts. He is riding 20% winners.

You're argument is the famous "tails I win, heads you lose argument". If JV would have beaten Gomez, you'd say that it proves that JV is better than Gomez. But if Gomez beats JV, then it's because of their agents.

Gomez is riding better than anyone right now and everybody who has been watching knows that. Gomez gets more out of a horse than Prado or JV. Gomez has a higher win percentage than Prado which is pretty amazing considering that Prado gets much better mounts.

Gomez' in the money percentage is the best by far. His in the money percenatge is 52%. Prado is in 2nd at 47% and JV is in 3rd at 46%. Gomez will often times be on the 4th or 5th best horse in the race and by giving the perfect ride he will somehow get up for 2nd or 3rd.

I'm too lazy to do the work, but I'd be curious what the median odds have been for Gomez' horses this meet compared to Prado. Median is a much fairer measure than average because one longshot could throw a guy's average way off. In other words, if a guy had 3 mounts for the day and the horses went off at 1-1, 2-1, and 21-1, the average odds of his horses would be 8-1 whereas the median would be 2-1. The median is a fairer representation.

Anyway, I think Prado gets much better mounts than Gomez yet Gomez still has a higher win percentage.

I'm going to steal you word and say that I've enjoyed watching Gomez "school" these guys.

Last edited by Rupert Pupkin : 08-29-2006 at 02:06 PM.
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