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Old 12-18-2008, 10:55 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
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Tricky sequence at Hollywood... harder than it looks I think.

Race 3, none of these are real win machines despite putting up consistent reasonably good figures- I'm comfortable standing with just the 2 & 5. If the 4 gets out early he scares me a bit since it's such a small field but he's proven to not be competitive at this level in the past and I think they run him down.

Race 4, I think Real Lift is the right single in this sequence- Mullins on the reclaim, loves Hollywood and the distance, and while she doesn't lay over the field if she runs back to the May/June races at the same level and distance she wins. Backup ticket through the 3, Catch Candy and even smaller ticket through the 6 Snow on Christmas who has a chance at a price.

Race 5, need to see if they stay on the turf but I think a lot of money will go through Haka and I think she's beatable in this spot. The last wasn't all that impressive to deserve a 6/5 ML and if they do stay on the rail will be out 15' which hurts her deep closing chances even more.

Race 7, I really like Cavanal in this spot but I have to use Victory Pete as well, since I think he has the most upside out of these and could get loose on the front end.
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