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Old 08-27-2006, 07:07 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2MinsToPost
I gotta get some sleep, but I am doin the math. Add up the winners of those 3 races, see what i am sayin bro?
Here's the math, using 1st Sat In May's figs of 7/10, 3/4, 4/10:

The chance that all 3 win is 0.7 * 0.75 * 0.4 = 0.21

Fair odds for a 0.21 chance is 1/0.21 -1 = 3.76 to 1. So, your 3.8 to 1 was right where it should have been.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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