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Originally Posted by King Glorious
If I were the trainer of Bernardini, I'd be more worried about the pace if Kip is not in the race. That would make High Cotton the apparent pace setter and while I don't see him as being up to beating this kind of field, I think he's a little bit too talented to just let him waltz alone up front and since he's won three stakes at 8.5f and finished second in another at 9f, I don't think he'd come back to them as fast as Kip would. So he's a horse that u have to pay a bit more attention to up front and maybe have to altar your strategy a little bit. That's what I was trying to say earlier. Pace is important in racing but it's more important to note what kind of horse is setting that pace and how contested a pace is rather than what the fractions are. I think slower fractions with High Cotton are more dangerous than faster ones with Kip.
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He's definitely a nice horse, but I think Castellano would assume a stalking position and move when the time was right (unless Bernardini wanted to move earlier). Bernardini has such a quick turn of foot that he might be past High Cotton before he could respond.....I'm playing out all the possible scenarios in my head, but frankly, I'm just ready for the race already.