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Old 10-18-2008, 05:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,044
Default 10/17: BEL (Showcase/$121 C/O); KEE (Stakes, P4)

Missed first 2 legs of Keeneland carryover Friday before running the table with rather mundane winners for a $115.00 quad and 4 exactas worth less than $100.00 total. Better than losing... The "6" was hit for $237,000 by a single play, which needed to include the hard to figure $125.00 Argentinian winner of the 6th from Raja Malek and $14.00 Holthus firster in the 5th. Hope you did well...

Last weekend of action before Breeders' includes New York bred Showcase Day at Belmont with added bonus of $121,000 double carryover. This is always a fun betting day at Elmont. Two nice graded stakes, including Phil the Power in the Sycamore, anchor a juicy looking P4 at Keeneland today, and the Calder card is really superb featuring more than $1,100,000 in stakes and many juveniles worth keeping an eye on...

Leave for Los Angeles late this afternoon for a weeks worth of "At the Races" which should bring you the best of the action and info from Santa Anita...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 15th Sleepy Hollow, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Legal Consent 8-1
Most Likely: #6 Trinity Magic 8-5
Next Best: #8 Fiddlers Afleet 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Head Hoof Heart 15-1


5th: 15th Maid of the Mist, 2yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e R. Dutrow entry 4-1
Best Value: #2 Got Clearance 6-1
Next Best: #4 Sneakin Up 3-1
Exotics Use: #10 Seek On 5-1


6th: 31st Hudson H., 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Like the Breeder's Cup Sprint... with New York Breds!

SCR #7 Premium Wine 7-2

Most Likely: #4 Ferocious Fires 9-2
Next Best: #8 Rollers 3-1
Best Value: #12 Irish Blast 15-1
Super Adds: #11 Mr. Windjammer 50-1


7th: 28th Ticonderoga H., F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Chestoria 8-1
Most Likely: #1 You Go West Girl 3-1
Next Best: #7 Nehantic Cat 6-1
Super Add: #5 Love Cove 5-1


8th: 30th Iroquois H., F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Talking Treasure 7-2
Next Best: #9 By the Light 5-2
Best Value: #11 Under Serviced 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Street Sass 12-1

.10 Super Play: Key 5 1st/2nd with 3-6-9-10-11 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


9th: 30th Mohawk H., 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Banrock 2-1
Best Value: #11 Logic Way 12-1
Next Best: #10 Al Basha 7-2
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Get Serious; #8 Self Made Man 20-1


10th: 33rd Empire Clasic, 3+, 9f (Super)

SCR #1 R Clear Victory

Most Likely: #8 Tommasi 7-2
Best Value: #11 Dr. D.F.C. 8-1
Next Best: #4 Spanky Fischbein 6-1


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-4
6: 4-8
7: 1-3-5-7
8: 5-9
9: 5-11
10: 8

3x2x4x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-7
8: 5-9
9: 1-5-8-10-11
10: 8-11

4x2x5x2 = $80



KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 14th Sycamore (Gr. III), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Phil the Power 12-1
Most Likely: #4 Transduction Gold 7-2
Next Best: #2 Telling 12-1


9th: 10th Raven Run (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f

Most Likely: #3 Informed Decision 3-1
Best Value: #4 Ride Em Cowgirl 12-1
Next Best: #10 Secret Gypsy 9-2
Super Add: #2 Spring Awakening 12-1


<$100 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-8
8: 1-3-4-5
9: 3-4
10: 1-4-9-11

3x4x2x4 = $96


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-18-2008 at 11:49 AM.
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