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Originally Posted by hockey2315
Bernardini's never really had to follow a horse like Kip before to my knowledge or a pace like the one there could be on Saturday. How do you know how he will react?
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Again though, u are assuming that Bernardini will have to change the way he normally runs because of the presence of Kip. If the plan for Bernardini Saturday is to run 47 and 1:11, why would he have to change that just because Kip is out there going 45 and 1:09? What I'm saying is that the pace of the race hasn't changed for the contenders. They can still run the race they were planning on running. The only difference now is that the earlier fractions will be faster but as long as the others just run their normal race, the final fractions will fall right in line with where the race would have gone had Kip not been in there. It was going to go in the 2:01-2:03 range with or without Kip so u run accordingly. It's not like a horse like Lion Heart was. He was a horse that u knew if u let him get away with soft fractions and an easy lead, he could steal it. In that case, u had to change your strategy to prevent that from happening. Not so with Kip. He's no threat to steal anything.
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