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Originally Posted by RollerDoc
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Beyer speed figure pundits claim Big Brown wasn’t as fast as champions of the past, but his Ragozin and Thoro-Graph numbers for the Kentucky Derby were the fastest ever recorded, including those of Secretariat, Monarchos, Spend a Buck, and other brilliant Derby winners. What makes those figures even more amazing was the fact that he also recorded the fourth fastest final Derby prep ever. So, instead of regressing off that race or pairing up, as the three horses who ran as fast or faster in their final prep did, he actually jumped up and ran a bigger number. Horses just don’t do that.
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Actually, good horses do improve off good races....especially lightly raced ones. Why would it be surprising when a 3YO ran better in his fourth career start than he did in his third career start?
Saying he ran a faster speed figure than Monarchos hardly places him in rarified air. And, furthermore, finding a speed figure that backs up your assertions, while rejecting another, especially if you have EVER used that other speed figure to defend a horse, is a slippery slope.