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Old 10-05-2008, 09:25 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,045
Default 10/5: Belmont ($73k C/O)

Had a handful of good opinions on "Best Value" types Saturday, particularly in the Woodbine stakesfest, and hope it helped you score. I was on the road for the day and was a tad anguished to be unable to play...

Grand Adventure (Summer - $18.10); True to Tradition (Nearactic - $18.40) and Chamberlain Bridge (Woodford - $39.40) were all Best Values that came through, but day ended agonizingly when I missed 2 enormous P4's going into last legs live. 4th choice 'Exotic Adds' Radical Sabbatical and Marsh Side both won setting off jumbo Quad returns of $11,925 in New York and $8,970 in Toronto. Hope everyone did well and the selections were helpful...

$73,000 carryover at Belmont has been looked at and appears approachable. At Keeneland, the underplayed P6 there has reached $121,000...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lieutenant Ron 6-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Kaper Lake 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2e SCR
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #5 Ain't Love Grand 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #7 It's My Day 10-1
MTO #11 In the Evening 3-1


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Holy Rock 9-2
Best Value: #2 Pay in Kind 8-1
Next Best: #10 Sacred Icon 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 McLovin 15-1


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Tempest Storm 7-2
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Flibberjibit 3-1 WON


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Steel Light 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Caesar Beware 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Big Brian T 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 Winzalot 8-1


9th: 139th Jerome (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Harlem Rocker 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Visionaire 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 You and I Forever 5-1 2nd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Walkabout Winner 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Can She Dance 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Here Comes Rita 6-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Who Is Lady 8-1

$1 Trifecta Paid $52.50


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 5-7-11
6: 1-2
7: 1
8: 6-12
9: 1-3-4-5
10: 9-11

3x2x1x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1
8: 2-6-12
9: 1-3-4-5
10: 2-4-9-11

1x3x4x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2008 at 05:56 PM.
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