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Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
It'll probably be between Invasor, Bernardini and Lava Man.....whichever horse emerges outof the BC Classic with a victory will win it....I'll take Bernardini ecause Lava Man has failed to successfully take his game with him outside of California, and Invasor isn't as good as Bernardini to me...ust two different horses....Bernardini is a rare talent ad it is too bad for Invasor that he picked the wrong year to e a top handicap horse with a 3YO monster like this in the wings....
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For me, I think it is going to depend on two things...
If Lava Man is tired and
The pace of the race.
If Lava Man goes 47 or over for the first half, then they are going to have a very hard time catching him. His last quarter of a mile in the Whittingham was unbelievable. 22.9 seconds. I know that it was on turf, but the horse consistently runs very fast last quarter of a miles on the dirt too. If he runs a race like he did in last year's HGC, the horse is going to be very tough to beat even with that monster Bernardini in the race.
However, I really think that it is Bernardini's race to lose. This horse is a freak, and everyone is going to get a wake up call to this horse's true ability this weekend in the Travers. He is the real deal. You know, this thing is almost turning into a War Admiral vs. Seabiscuit kind of thing for me...I know the extent of Bernardini's talent, but on that first Saturday in November, if Lava Man enters the starting gate, I will be rooting for him to kick on, gut it out, show his heart, and win.