Quote:
|
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Exactly. The point at least I was making was that I thought he would be overbet and it was a tricky race. As it turned out, the 1 and 11 crushed the field, and I was wrong, but even though I would never have bet Dr. Decter I would never have left him out of a real Pick-6 play.
In fact, if I made a $2K play he would have been one of the two winners on my ticket! I think my only decent opinion was that it was probably going to carry again....though I have no idea how the last winner paid $18.
|
The key is the scratch of the 2B and the 12. With them in the race, there's actually some pace --in terms of chasers, and they get the same trip as the 11. Without them it's a 2 horse race and, assuming the 11 is not a need-the-lead type, he gets the perfect setup. I mean, how is the 1 going to wire the field when he couldn't get it done going 5.5F last out, and, more importantly, the turf is yielding? As it was, the 11 proved to not be much: perfect trip and all and he was in drive to win the race. And, the 1 didn't change leads until just before the wire.
For the record: the FATMAN doesn't play Pick6's. And, given the scratches, he didn't play the race.