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Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
There is no more obvious case of racism than what I am seeing in the polling in Arkansas and Missouri. I mean those 2 states are off the table this time, and they are usually not like that. I know states can naturally start to get more red or blue( for example Louisiana has indeed turned more red ...even before Katrina,) but I don't think it's the case with these 2. They stick out this time. They should be polling like Missouri +3 McCain, and Arkansas +5 McCain. They are polling Missouri +7 McCain, and Arkansas +10 McCain!!They were gunna most likely go red anyways. So, I don't think it's going to really be a decider, but I think racism will make the election in Virginia and Ohio pretty ugly. I agree with Kev about the rural Virginians voting by race, but the fact that they have a popular Democratic Senate Candidate that is drawing away by 15-20 makes that state totally in play. That state is(for sure) trending more blue every 2 years. It's a badly divided state, and that's what we have in California as well. There is this thinking that Californis is a blue monolith, and it's not true. It's just 2 main areas that are big blue(L.A. County, and the immediate S.F. BAY AREA.) The rest of the state(the majority of the geography on a map) is red. I think KEV'S state is trending towards this situation. I think he isn't really noticing that some of his states larger population centers are beginning to get the upper hand over the rural conservative areas, and the larger southeast conservative population centers. I think he may not be realizing that the northeast portion of the state is part of an area that grew by a half million people in 6 years time(Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va. +494,220.) That's starting to impact the elections in Virginia (somewhat.) 15-20 % AHEAD BY A DEMOCRATIC SENATE CANDIDATE IS A LOT(even if it's a conservative Democrat.)
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Scuds....if Warner was in the Senate race against me, his lead would be considerably less. You are blowing that 15-20% lead way out of proportion. Gilmore is as inept a politician you will find. He proved how useless he was as Gov. of Virginia and the people haven't forgotten that. What you need to understand is this....the two are running to fill the slot to be vacated by John Warner (no relation). Mark Warner couldnt defeat John Warner before and doubt he would have done so again.
We been friends a long time, so trust me when I tell you that your whole argument holds no merit. Half the people on this board could give Mark Warner more of a fight than Gilmore.