Thread: State by State
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Old 09-06-2008, 04:18 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
There is no more obvious case of racism than what I am seeing in the polling in Arkansas and Missouri. I mean those 2 states are off the table this time, and they are usually not like that. I know states can naturally start to get more red or blue( for example Louisiana has indeed turned more red ...even before Katrina,) but I don't think it's the case with these 2. They stick out this time. They should be polling like Missouri +3 McCain, and Arkansas +5 McCain. They are polling Missouri +7 McCain, and Arkansas +10 McCain!!They were gunna most likely go red anyways. So, I don't think it's going to really be a decider, but I think racism will make the election in Virginia and Ohio pretty ugly. I agree with Kev about the rural Virginians voting by race, but the fact that they have a popular Democratic Senate Candidate that is drawing away by 15-20 makes that state totally in play. That state is(for sure) trending more blue every 2 years. It's a badly divided state, and that's what we have in California as well. There is this thinking that Californis is a blue monolith, and it's not true. It's just 2 main areas that are big blue(L.A. County, and the immediate S.F. BAY AREA.) The rest of the state(the majority of the geography on a map) is red. I think KEV'S state is trending towards this situation. I think he isn't really noticing that some of his states larger population centers are beginning to get the upper hand over the rural conservative areas, and the larger southeast conservative population centers. I think he may not be realizing that the northeast portion of the state is part of an area that grew by a half million people in 6 years time(Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, D.C.-Va.-Md.-W.Va. +494,220.) That's starting to impact the elections in Virginia (somewhat.) 15-20 % AHEAD BY A DEMOCRATIC SENATE CANDIDATE IS A LOT(even if it's a conservative Democrat.)
i have to admit when i read the article in the state paper the other day, i was surprised mccain was ahead by such a margin. then you read it and think 'yeah, right. that's why he's ahead, palin'. altho i do know that arkansas is an odd state (an understatement for sure) in that it's mostly rural, with a lot of hunters/gun owners-so in that respect they're conservative. also very conservative with dry counties, gay marriage, adoption/foster parenting,etc. but then you look at state and local govt, and it's overwhelmingly dems. it's crazy and doesn't make much sense at all. they're saying that a lot of hillary supporters are switching to palin...but i disagree. i think it mostly has to do with ignorance and fear.
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