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Originally Posted by sdjcom
I watch the replay full screen, several times focusing on Mambo only and seen nothing except going wide in last turn(no where else to go because he was next to last going down backstretch) I watch Colonel John and he reared at start , stumble out of gate, was pushed sideways entering stretch, if you watch mambo at this time was never offstrided like CJ and was even with him but could not pass. So i don't understand why some are saying "IF" Mambo would not have had a rough trip he would have won. Are they watching the same video of #9 ? IF CJ would not have stumble, pushed out, lost stride he would have won by five. What do you DT'ers think? A lot of cry-babying today.
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I axed myself the same question.
I thought Colonel had a great trip. Aside from being in a bit tight just past the 1/4 pole where he steadied slightly for one or, at most, two strides, he had a terrific inside trip close to what turned out to be bad speed. I'm not sure if CJ got hip-checked by the horse inside him or if he clipped heels with the horse to his rear. I tend to believe it was the latter, but it doesn't matter.
On the other hand Mambo was 4-3 wide the first turn and seemed to steady a bit at the 5/8 when in tight. Hard to say why but he certainly lost a spot or two within 5-6 strides. And while I don't normally give horses extra credit for spiining wide out of the stretch turn, he was very wide.
I thought that Mambo had the longer, tougher trip. By far.
Thx for axing.