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Old 08-02-2008, 10:54 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
Well, I think you hardly ever want to play any horse at 3/5 odds. But I think there's trying to beat a favorite that's vulnerable because you really believe it and then there's trying to beat a favorite just because the odds are good on another horse. For me, this was one of those races where instead of doing what I felt was wasting money trying to beat a favorite that looked like a lock, it was better to just pass the race. Some people like to look at a race and even if they don't like a horse's chances to win, they will let the odds tell them otherwise. Me, if I don't think a horse has a shot to win, it wouldn't matter if the odds were 1/5 or 50/1.
and you were clearly correct.

prior to the race i thought there was a reasonable argument for some of the others.

like i said, it's very thin ice to be arguing after the race. but tg sheets do identify vulnerable favorites often enough that i'll pay attention in a race like this. that was the original question.
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