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Old 08-02-2008, 10:24 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
But just expecting a bounce is not enough. The opposition has to be taken into account. She could have bounced to the moon and still been good enough to beat that field. So many times I see people say they expect a horse to bounce and automatically assume that means they can't win when in actuality, even huge regression is still much better than anything else the opponents can do.
the question was did you want to bet her at 3-5 or one of the other's.

it's a difficult argument to make after the fact but i think the smarter bet was trying to find the one to beat her.

i don't try to beat every heavy favorite. but i thought there was a reason to think she was vulnerable today.
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