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Originally Posted by asudevil
I will preface this by saying I have immense respect for his accomplishments and contributions to our beloved game. I am familiar with TG but by no means an authority.
Some friends of mine attended the TG seminar today at Siro's. Jerry was emphatic about taking a strong position against Indian Blessing and Zenyatta. They were essentially "throw outs" in his opinion. OK, we know the result and I'm not here to provide hindsight. But my question to you TG'ers out there is why was this the gospel? Especially Zenyatta who was racing against NOBODY!
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I don't know what Zenyatta's sheet was, but I do know Indian Blessing's. You could have done one of two things with Indian Blessing today, using any kind of information, you were either singling here and keying her on top, or completely tossing.
Indian Blessing ran absolutely monsterous last time, but it was a 'slop top' and it was a large improvement. I think Baffert running back fairly quickly was a sign of her health, and from my recollection, even if she moved back a couple points on the sheets, she was still going to win. I have no idea how to make a figure, but if she moved back 2 pts and Baffert tries to stretch her out to a mile within 40-50 days, I would think she is a great play against if you believe in the 0-2=x theory.