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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Because the wildly overrated Ginger Punch, and the complete bums she beat, went so slow - it makes it almost impossible to not have the Whitney in the 116-to-120 range without cutting races loose and making hack redboard style of figures.
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Even if you cut this race looose, it would be hard to give Commentator much less than something in the 116-120 range. The 3rd place horse finished 13 lengths behind. That's about 20 Beyer pts. If Commentator is given a 116, then horses 3-11 get 96 or less. But every one of those 9 horses except Cowton Cat and Notional had run at least a 97 BSF in 2 of its last 3 races, and Notional came into the race off a 109 BSF. To give Commentator less than 116 would mean that the 9 horses behind Student Council had regressed off recent form.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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