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Originally Posted by kgar311
Can someone explian to me why this horse is 6-1mL in an optional 75k claimer and the favorite is a horse that hasnt been out since Jan. and doesnt look like much? Can anyone see this horse going not going off odd on?
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I think it is a bad morning line.
Not for the reason that I think VIsionaire is some kind of top dog win-contender in this race, but for the reason that the public wants to bet him.
Even with the bad line, he should still go off between 5-2 and 4-1 in this race.
The linesmaker is never supposed to handicap beyond public opinion. Even worse when he influences public opinion.
He isn't supposed to save you guys from yourselves.
This isn't sportsteam betting where he makes Visionaire 6-1 to encourage more action...
As far as his chances? Visionaire will have a tough time sprinting against decent older horses.