7/19: 60-P6; BEL; PHA; CNL; San Diego H.
Not much to discuss this weekend with anticipation of Saratoga taking the focus away from nearly everything. "Sixty Minute Six" has a Carryover of $67,000+ today but looks very challenging. The action in the "60-6" did trigger interest in the Belmont sextet and the last 4 at Philly. (In fact, a chat with Sal Sinatra, Philadelphia's racing secretary, may lead to the introduction of a late P4 there.)
Colonial's biggest day also lacks a late P4 but does have a P3 tied to the stakes trio there which includes the graded Derby & Oaks. Del Mar hits its' first weekend and there is a $135,000 carryover from Friday night's card. Had only looked at the featured San Diego H. (where I love Rebellion), but may glance at the rest of the 6 pack.
BEL, PHA, DEL and MTH races listed in chronological order...
PHILADELPHIA PARK (7-8-9-10)
PHA 7th (2:56): ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)
Most Likely: #1 Preachin Heat 4-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Global Winds 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Travinator 5-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #7 Raised for Speed 5-2 2nd
$1 Exacta (1-7) Paid $13.00
$1 Trifecta Paid $55.00
BELMONT PARK (5-10)
BEL 5th (3:07): CLMN3L, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #1 TRUE REBEL 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #9 Sonny's the One 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Akin 3-1 WON
$2 Exacta (5-9) Paid $25.75
$1 Trifecta Paid $64.50
PHA 8th (3:22): 1st Greenwood Cup, 3+, 12f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Barcola 7-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Evening Attire 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Phil the Power 12-1 2nd
$1 Exacta (6-5) Paid $40.00
$1 Trifecta Paid $85.60
SIXTY MINUTE P6
A.) BEL 6th (3:40): NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Unity 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Castle Harbour 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pano's Love 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Don't Fooli Houli 4-1 WON
$1 Exacta (8-5) Paid $17.00
$1 Trifecta Paid $84.50
B.) MTH 7th (3:50): ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P4, Super)
Most Likely: #6 ATWELL 3-1 WON
Best Value: #3 Jansdream 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Quick to Charm 4-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Current Case 5-1 6th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 6 with 2-3-5-7-8-9 (1x6x5x4) = 120 x .10 = $12.00)
$0.10 Superfecta (6-2-3-7) Paid $71.00
C.) DEL 8th (3:56): ALW/NC, 2yo-F, 5f
Most Likely: #5 Samba's Run 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Aunt Mabel 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Onearmedbandit 8-5 WON
$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $14.40
D.) PHA 9th (4:01): ALS/S, 3+, 8.5f (DD)
Most Likely: #4 FOOLISH BID 9-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Sweetsouthernson 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 SCR
Exotics Add: #3 Ticket Home 9-2 4th
E.) BEL 7th (4:12): NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3)
Most Likely: #6 Imperial River 5-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Triple Bogey Blues 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Criminal Power 8-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #1e Hennig entry 7-2 5th/10th
F.) PHA 10th (4:28): MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m70-T (Super)
Most Likely: #3 Dixie Queen 5-2 3rd to 2nd on DQ
Best Value: #8 Adept 10-1 2nd to 5th on DQ
Next Best: #6 U.S.S. Sea Lion 5-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Pfullendorf 10-1
$1 Exacta (6-3) Paid $14.20
60 MIN. P6 Play:
A. 4-5-6-8
B. 6
C. 1-5-6
D. 4
E. 2-5-6
F. 1-3-4-5-6-8
4x1x3x1x3x6 = $218
$2 Pick 6 Paid $35.80 (5 OF 6)
<$25 PHA 7-8-9th P# Play:
7: 1-2-6-7
8: 1-3-6
9: 4
4x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24
<$25 PHA 8-9-10th P3 Play:
8: 1-3-6
9: 4
10: 1-3-4-5-6-8
3x1x6 = $18
BELMONT CONT.
BEL 8th (4:43): OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3)
Most Likely: #3 Diamondrella 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 West of Gibraltar 6-1 DNF
Next Best: #1 Sally Bowles 3-1
BEL 9th (5:15): 92nd CCA Oaks (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)
Most Likely: #2 Acoma 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Never Retreat 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry WON/2nd
BEL 10th (5:47): CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #3 Ferocious Won 7-2 WON
Best Value: #4 Ready Read 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Halo's Tiger 6-1
Super Add: #9 SCR
<$75 BEL P4 Play:
7: 2-5-6
8: 3-4
9: 1-2
10: 2-3-4-8-(9/SCR)-10
3x2x2x5 = $60
$1 Pick 4 (6/3/1/3) Paid $60.25 (4OF4)
COLONIAL
7th: Kitten's Joy, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Ballast 4-5 5th
Best Value: #2 Mint Slewlep 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Midwatch 9-2 WON
Super Add: #6 Bastille 6-1 6th
8th: Virginia Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Namaste's Wish 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 I Lost My Choo 9-5 WON
Best Value: #9 Cherokee Queen 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Athena's Gift 8-1 5th
9th: 11th Virginia Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 10f-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Sailor's Cap 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #2 Old Man Buck 5-1
Super Add: #6 SCR
<$50 All Stakes P3 Plays: (X) = backup
7: 1-2-6-7
8: 7-10
9: 2-7-{8}-9
4x2x4 = $32 (An option is to heavy up on {8} Sailor's Cap)
$1 Pick 3 (1/1,10/7) Paid $44.90 (3OF3)
DEL MAR
6th: 67th San Diego H. (Gr. II), 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Outstanding edition of the first graded stake at La Jolla with serious faves and live longshots.. Potenially lucrative event..
Most Likely: #3 Rebellion 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Surf Cat 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Racketeer 15-1 10th
Super Add: #7 Global Hunter 8-1 6th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key #3 Rebellion with 1-2-4-5-6-7 (1x6x5x4 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)... Will back that up with $2 exacta wheel of 1-2-4-5-6-7 over 3 ($12)...
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 07-20-2008 at 05:48 AM.
|