You said "NOWWW IT'S GUNNA BE REAL CLOSE." Look at what happens(ON THE PAN) just after you say NOWW. He has to hesitate slightly. After that he has lost that momentum that was gunna be just enough to get by. That's where the winner of the race was determined. In between the word "NOWW," and the phrase "It's gunna be real close." Something the winner did caused the horse in 2nd place to have to change what he was doing. What he was doing was gunna be good enough to go by.
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