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Old 07-12-2008, 05:42 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,047
Default 7/12: '60-6'; Summit-CRC; Million Preview-AP; More..

Full and intriguing day of action nationwide Saturday with Summit of Speed at Calder, Curlin's lawn bow at Belmont in the Man o' War, Delaware Oaks/Handicap Weekend, Million Preview at Arlington and an impossible Sixty Minute P6.


SIXTY MINUTE P6


A) BEL 6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (G/S, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Iron Curtain 3-1
Best Value: #1e Imperio entry 8-1
Next Best: #4 Senor Musician 6-1
Exotics Add: #9 Carry On the Dream 12-1


B) MTH 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Brush On By 4-1
Best Value: #3 Reata's Rocket 10-1
Next Best: #1 Baby Rusch 3-1
Super Add: #8 Monster Drive 4-1


C) DEL 8th: 47th Delaware Oaks (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Proud Spell 3-2
Best Value: #1 Weathered 6-1
Next Best: #3 African Violet 4-1
Super Add: #7 She's All Eltish 5-1


D) PHA 9th: CLM, 3+, @1m-T

Most Likely: #7 Commission 2-1
Best Value: #6 Headbanger 15-1
Next Best: #9 Omaha Beach 3-1


E) MTH 8th: Bob Harding, 3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Classic Campaign 7-2
Best Value: #2 Ballonenostrikes 6-1
Next Best: #1 Kiss the Kid 3-1
Super Add: #3 Headsandstales 10-1


F) DEL 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sauce Bernaise 7-2
Best Value: #2 Rain Date 8-1
Next Best: #3 Embellishment 9-2
Super/Exotics: #12 Lean 8-1


<$150 60-P6 Play:

A: 1-4-6-7-9-10
B: 1-3-5
C: 6
D: 6-7
E: 1-2-3-9
F: 8

6x3x1x2x4x1 = $144



CALDER RACE COURSE


7th: Azalea (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6f (.50 P4, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #6 Indyanne 4-5
Best Value: #2 Orinoquia 6-1
Next Best: #1 Grand Obsession 6-1
Super Add: #4 Dancing Allstar 4-1


8th: Carry Back (Gr. II), 3yo, 6f (P3, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #7 Lantana Mob 8-5
Best Value: #5 Carson's Legacy 4-1
Next Best: #2 Golden Spikes 3-1
Super Add: #4 Gentleman James 6-1


9th: Princess Rooney (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #6 Looky Yonder 3-1
Best Value: #1 Dixie Dreamer 8-1
Next Best: #4 Dream Rush 8-5
Super Add: #5 Miraculous Miss 4-1


10th: Smile Sprint, 3+, 6f (P3, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #8 Benny the Bull 7-5
Best Value: #9 Rockerfeller 6-1
Next Best: #3 Indian Chant 4-1
Super Add: #6 Ravalo 12-1


<$75/$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6
8: 2-5-7
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 8-9

3x3x4x2 = $72 (or $36 for .50)



ARLINGTON PARK


6th: 73rd Arlington H. (Gr. III), 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #5 Cosmonaut 7-5
Next Best: #1 Stream Cat 5-2
Best Value: #3 Corrupt 4-1


9th: 52nd Modesty (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #11 Lemon Chiffon 6-1
Best Value: #9 Kiss With a Twist 8-1
Next Best: #6 Ballymore Lady 5-1
Super Add: #4 Barbette 4-1


10th: 94th American Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9.5f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tizdejavu 2-1
Best Value: #4 Ablaze With Spirit 12-1
Next Best: #6 Great War Eagle 3-1
Super Add: #7 Prime Realestate 9-2



BELMONT PARK


9th: 50th Man o' War (Gr. I), 3+, 11f-T

Probably best to bet against Curlin here as first move to lawn hardly "3-5" versus very classy group..

Most Likely: #7 Curlin 3-5
Best Value: #2 Grand Couturier 10-1
Next Best: #1 Better Talk Now 6-1
Super/Exotics: #5 Sudan 15-1



FINGER LAKES


8th: 36th New York Derby, NYB-3yo, 8.5f

Excellent edition of this Empire-bred with Mike Lee winner trying for 2nd Big Apple Triple leg at home track; Del Carroll always thought highly of Alexandros, runner from famed NY dam Aristie of the Kouray-Sarris family (Levendis, Stellianos, Thanasi, et al..), and as usual, it took a while for him to get it together. Big threat; Schosberg's Officer colt gets leading Lakes rider and is the 'right' price t 6-1 ML..

Most Likely: #3 Tin Cup Chalice 1-2
Next Best: #5 Alexandros 7-2
Best Value: #4 That'srightofficer 6-1



WOODBINE


6th: 13th Dance Smartly (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Callwood Dancer 5-2
Next Best: #7 Quiet Jungle 3-1
Best Value: #6 May Night 8-1



Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-12-2008 at 06:27 AM.
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