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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
It's not all about breeding. In fact, it's NEVER about breeding for me and ALL about trips.
Typically, unless we're dealing with bush type tracks (or speed favoring tracks) turf horses don't stretch out as easily as they cut back. It's a matter of footwork, as trying 2 turns for the 1st time presents problems for them.
Who's the sire of English Colony?
TRIPS are superordinate to BREEDING and TRAINER angles. Fact of the matter.
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No one variable is infallible which is why you have to be aware of more than the history of a horses "trips". Trip handicapping gets you into trouble as much as any other "superordinate" variable. Which is why you blame the jock when a horse doesn't win that you are sure is "much the best". The random element of trips has the same pit falls as pedigree only or TA only handicapping. Success is about a formula, made from all, that works not a magic ingredient.